No answers but a bunch of guesses… Personally I think we’ll all have a better idea after November’s software releases – if they haven’t got something for the Vista beta by then, I’m not going to hold out loads of hope. They may or may not get something working later, but if they’re not ready with a Vista compatible AIW in January, I wouldn’t make any long-term plans for the line.
I’d also say any lead problem is more an excuse then practical limitation – I’m sure there will be plenty of TV cards and ATI graphics cards sold in Europe. As far as buffering goes, I’d assume ATI, and most companies making any sort of TV card, are tapping into the mainstream PVR market – simply displaying TV on a TV doesn’t add any value, so why buy a TV card to do something you already do? [this is from the average person’s – not enthusiast – view]
Think that PVR focus is also behind the new popularity of mpg2 encoding chips. There’s no way you need mpg2 hardware encoding normally, but add all the BS of encoding, writing, decoding, & finally displaying video, and it means cpu usage goes up, especially with current MMC where capture’s broken, or at the least very unfinished.
As far as audio goes, don’t think that page has been fully written yet… Vista’s handling of audio streams (according to Creative) does away with Windows support of raw audio to hardware – have to use OpenAL or ASIO rather than direct sound. I think we’ll see new methods of handling audio in Vista that will be used in XP & MCE too, and if ATI chooses to re-write their audio handling for Vista, there’s hope.
Decreased AIW demand & profits.
I’d imagine in the early days of the AIW there was much higher profit and demand – there weren’t IMHO a lot of mid-range alternatives (2, maybe 3?). Now there are loads of TV cards & boxes, and with MCE, a decreased demand for a product with higher quality software like MMC [that is MMC when it was working, & compared to what everyone else bundled]. Also had the capture market cut (halved?) as DV became popular, cut further with easy software for DVD ripping, and cut further yet by higher end cards.
Needed investment in new code.
Changes in Windows made/make some changes in software necessary, and for probably economic reasons ATI hasn’t put forth the needed resources to revamp their multimedia software. I’d guess they developed the theater chips, thought they’d get away cheap with Cyberlink software, and spent this year trying to get one MMC working with all their products. So far haven’t seen much evidence anyone is really happy with the new MMC, and as I’ve seen mentioned, the AIW T200 driver probably won’t work fully with Vista or it’s MCE program. [A forum announcement at Creative.com has a discussion of the changes in Vista that’s giving them problems, and my understanding of it is you have to get rid of the KX stuff.]
Pretending I have a crystal ball, I think ATI’s TV cards will continue, or at least the chipset, with MMC (assuming they can get something working) taking the place of Vista’s MCE, which I’ve read won’t do DVB. Also makes sense as more folks go with on-board graphics in average PCs, as the market for dual tuners increases, and if ATI pursues cable card systems. Of course you can charge more – the AIW line was marginally cheaper then card + TV card I think – and don’t have to worry about AGP vs. PCI-e. Considering the investment they’ve already made in TV cards, no real reason I can see to not have something in the growing market.
The AIW line’s immediate survival I think depends on what it costs to continue, as everything to produce them is already in place. If they can’t get software working for what they’re prepared to spend might close off the line, or might keep a token presence in the market until HDMI when/where a new AIW might make loads of sense. OTOH as part of AMD, their TV expertise might be used for multimedia boxes, where there would be no need for an AIW-type product , and their joining might make it easier for ATI to get away with phasing out support.