If we can compare COVID-19 to a flu, then a good analogy or model to look at would be either seasonal flu patterns, or even the larger 1918 Spanish Flu outbreak.
The Spanish Flu didn't just show up all at once. It flared up a bit in the Spring of 1918, died down and went away during the Summer, then came back strong in the Fall and Winter of 1918 into 1919. Regular flu outbreaks behave like this too. The reason they release flu vaccines in the fall or winter with specific variations of the flu in them is because they look at what popped up more in the Spring before, and they just prepare/plan for THOSE strains to be a problem the following winter.
Stocking up now to brace for the impacts of COVID-19 doesn't make a lot of sense. It isn't likely to be a really big problem for us until later this year.
The Spanish Flu didn't just show up all at once. It flared up a bit in the Spring of 1918, died down and went away during the Summer, then came back strong in the Fall and Winter of 1918 into 1919. Regular flu outbreaks behave like this too. The reason they release flu vaccines in the fall or winter with specific variations of the flu in them is because they look at what popped up more in the Spring before, and they just prepare/plan for THOSE strains to be a problem the following winter.
Stocking up now to brace for the impacts of COVID-19 doesn't make a lot of sense. It isn't likely to be a really big problem for us until later this year.
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