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#601 | Advertisement (Guests Only)
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Justice will be served
Join Date: Jan 2001
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Quote:
Now you are saying that AMD's lack of marketshare have absolutely nothing at all to do with Intel, and it's all self inflicted. By saying that, you are saying that each and every judgment against Intel, and now the investigations in the United States, are completely invalid. It's unfortunate that you really believe that. edit - how about looking at it this way. If Intel did not exist, at all. Would total processor shipments drop by 80%, because AMD has absolutely no recourse to produce more than that? Because this is what you are essentially saying.
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#602 | ||
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Computer Ed
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Quote:
NO ONE has said that I am aware of that Intel did not play a major factor in the position AMD is in right now. I just read earlier today the fil;ing by New York, YIKES! However AMD needs serious help in marketing and it does play a huge role in AMDs current position. Even people at AMD are agreeing with me, not understanding why the market department is dragging when it should be attacking. I think Intel will settle out of court and pay a pretty health sum to AMD. However even if Intel stops it's practices tomorrow and AMD gets a healthy budget bump unless they get a marketing campaign that actually works they will be no better off a year later. I personally WANT AMD to succeed, I think they offer a great value and solid product. For my personal use and family I build nothing but AMD. However I am not so drunk on koolaid that I think AMD can do no wrong. They have to get serious about marketing to gain any real share, even if they win against Intel. Vision is just another example of the incompetent people working for AMD marketing.
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#603 | |
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Justice will be served
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#604 | |
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UPDATE: NY AG: Dell Got $6B Through Secret Intel Pact >DELL Quote:
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#605 |
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Skynet, even if AMD was to get more marketshare at that time, they wouldn't have had the capacity to sell another 10% marketshare, but agree with you that Intel did shut out AMD with OEM's.
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#606 |
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Hehehe, oh boy. Yet another one saying it. Hmmmm, Skynet, seems not everybody's memory is as short as yours.
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#607 |
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well giving rebates to the point that OEM's got such a good deal with Intel parts, thats shutting out AMD by all means, unfortunatly we don't know how much those rebates were, but I wouldn't be suprised if Intel took almost no profits to minimal profits on thier chips with high volume OEM's.
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#608 | |
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Quote:
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#609 |
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oh yeah they definitly didn't have the capacity, they were already over 100% capacity at their dreden fab in AMD's haydays.
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#610 |
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That's one of my major points. While Intel's tactics kept AMD down when AMD wasn't leading the market with highest end performance, when they were, they sold everything they could make. They couldn't keep up with demand at several major points. Which to me says that while Intel's tactics were crap, AMD could overcome those tactics at times with sheer engineering prowess, but then couldn't keep it up each time to capitalize on those victories.
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#611 |
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That is true, ya know thats one of the must forgotten part of Intel, thier sheer size with thier fabs is what makes them very formidable. As much technology they have, just thier ability to produce huge amounts of their chips gives them a large advantage against others in any market directly associated with silicon chip production.
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#612 | |
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Justice will be served
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Quote:
I will tell you again because you refuse to get it. AMD didn't care so much about being capacity constrained, they most certainly planned to use that capacity for Opteron. This strategy failed because they were shutout by the likes of Dell, HP, and IBM. So instead of making extremely high profits on the capacity they had, they made very slim margins producing much lower margin chips. Savvy? Did you read the NY State filing? It goes a very long way to explain exactly what I am talking about. This is not something I am making up, this is not my opinion. This is what happened, backed up by Intel's own words. Now of course AMD ended up in a situation where they lost the performance crown, and were further forced down the margins chain, just like Intel intended. Hence we have the position AMD is in today. AMD has their own self inflicted wounds, but as you constantly ignore, so does Intel. The difference is, AMD paid dearly for their mistakes because they had no cushion, Intel did not pay for their mistakes. And I will ask you AGAIN, why did Intel pay out billions to exclude AMD when AMD was capacity constrained? Answer the question please.
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Brought to you by Matsumura Fishworks & Tamaribuchi Heavy Manufacturing Concern. Last edited by Skynet : Nov 9, 2009 at 01:16 AM. Reason: removed "aggressive" language |
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#613 |
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come on now both of you have valid points but both are looking at it from a different perspective, no need to go into "STFU", that just makes things very personal, no need for that. Its a good debate keep it goin. Intel I think has paid for thier mistakes and will pay more because of the lawsuits. Intel did what they thought they had to, which damn if they didn't think about the situation they would be in right now, AMD would have gotten more money, they would be in a different situation right now, probably the spin off of the fabs wouldn't have happened, FishKill planet construction would probably have progressed as planned instead it was delayed, but market dynamics as of now, wouldn't have changed much because of Intel's better chips, the OEM's would have shifted back to Intel. So the debt that AMD has incurred in the recent years after buying ATI would have been less to what degree, well thats kinda hard to say, but still they would have had a good amount of debt, I don't think 4 billion dollars would have been wiped out possible only a billion of it would have?
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Last edited by razor1 : Nov 9, 2009 at 12:05 AM. |
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#614 | |
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Justice will be served
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Quote:
AMD found this out the hard way, and when they were squeezed of the volume they needed, they could no longer afford to own and continuously update their manufacturing facilities. The GlobalFoundries spin off is a way to get rid of this disadvantage by offering fab capacity to 3rd parties. If AMD did not spin off their Fabs it would have dragged them down into oblivion. So the bottom line is Intel is not some sort of manufacturing god, but is able to pay for their manufacturing prowess by huge volumes and a near monopoly. If you look at the return for the dollar, AMD is a far, far more efficient company. If Intel was competing on a level playing field, they would have a far harder time dominating. Sooner or later we will find this out in spades. Intel's monopolistic behaviour will come to an end, it's only a matter of time, the various states and the Feds have had enough and will come down very hard on Intel. Expect a huge punishment against Intel in the next few years.
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#615 | |
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Justice will be served
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Quote:
And if you doubt that, I will quote this again. So there is that same question, WHY did Intel pay out billions when it would have not made any difference? That completely invalidates the argument and proves that AMD was indeed a threat, and their ultimate capacity limitations were not even close enough of an issue, otherwise Intel would have just let AMD shoot themselves in the foot and do nothing.
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Brought to you by Matsumura Fishworks & Tamaribuchi Heavy Manufacturing Concern. Last edited by Skynet : Nov 9, 2009 at 12:07 AM. |
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#616 | ||
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Quote:
Quote:
The NY state filing, AMD was capacity limited when AMD processors were first sold to Dell aswell, they even said it, thats one of the reasons why Dell had to shift some of marketing and sales initiatives back to Intel, but in anycase that wasn't the only reason why AMD failed at that time as you said, but in recent years the performance advantage that Intel has can't be ignored. To Mosphit's points, Intel "Intel Inside" market initiative was very strong, the amount of TV advertisments Intel had done with that, AMD had really no answer for, to me it was almost brainwashing the consumer because thats all they saw.
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#617 | |
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Justice will be served
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Some people will think that is crazy, but it will not be that hard to show those kind of numbers are the harm Intel did to AMD. It's easy to prove, just add up the Intel payouts and tell a jury, hey if Intel was willing to dish out that kind of cash, don't you think they believed that is what AMD stood to gain? Even if the jury only believes AMD deserves half that number, it will still be a massive amount.
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#618 | |
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Justice will be served
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Quote:
AMD would have otherwise been able to use the capacity for highly profitable parts, something Intel highly relied on.
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#619 |
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well we don't know how the money was funnelled to Dell, I'll give you an example that I have seen used (one of jobs a few years ago was a director of produciton in an advertising firm), lets say Dell wants to create an advertsiment, Intel says we want our "Intel inside" logo and ad at the end of the adversiment, first thing we do is look into buy TV space, ok then we look at its going to cost this much for this much space, depending on length, timing of airing of the commercial, then cost of production of the shoot. Intel says ok we have X amount of $ we will give to Dell, since its thier commercial Intel pays extra because Dell will employ the resources to get the commercial made, then Dell pays Y to the advertising firm. Now Intel can actually pay double and still get away with it, because Dell is now acting as a liason or consultant for Intel. This can be done for any adverstising online or traditional. So lets say Dell spent 500 million a year on advertising which is quite possible over a year, advertising agencies tend to get a retainer for an entire year, Intel could have given them a billion.
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#620 |
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Yes we do. It was paid to Dell directly. In fact, at one point Intel's payouts to Dell exceed Dell's own quarterly profits. At one point, M. Dell even asked Intel for more money so they could look good on their financials and show a quarter to quarter growth. M. Dell actually routinely threatened Intel and used AMD as pawn to get more cash. But like I keep saying, it's all there in the filing if anyone cares to ready it.
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#621 |
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It doesn't go into exactly how the money was funnelled, it might not have just been given to them, I might be wrong at the end, but the filling doesn't show the money trail so don't think Intel would be stupid enough just to hand them the money. Anyhow, I'm sure that will be uncovered in the trail.
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#622 |
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There is far far too much in the filing to post here, but here are some snippets. Again I can't emphasize this enough. AMD was not NOT so capacity constrained that it did not offer a significant threat to Intel. That is blatantly clear by Intel's extensive actions and efforts to keep the liked of Dell from offering AMD based servers. 104. An internal Intel review recognized that this development could cost Intel dearly in terms of revenue, noting that, as a result of the introduction of AMD competition in the server market by HP as well, $250 million in Intel revenue was at risk in 2004. 105. Dell understood that Intel’s reaction would likely be severe if “Dell joins the AMD exodus.” Specifically, the Dell executive who served as Intel’s informal liaison to Dell management wrote the following analysis: If we play this right, we walk away with a 3-year contract that drives structural Dell advantage in cost, supply, and influence…. PSO/CRB [Paul Ottelini, Intel’s CEO, and Craig Barrett, Intel’s Chairman] are prepared for jihad if Dell joins the AMD exodus. We [will] get ZERO MCP for at least one quarter while Intel ‘investigates the details’ – there’s no legal/moral/threatening means for us to apply and avoid this. We’ll also have to bite and scratch to even hold 50% [of MCP] including a commitment to NOT ship [AMD-based products] in [the] Corporate [sector]. If we go [with AMD CPUs] in [the] Opti[plex product line], [Intel] cut[s] [MCP] to <20% and use[s] the added MCP to compete against us. [Intel has] gamed this out and can clearly withstand a 2-3 year industry price war to ensure that they lose no market share if Dell ships AMD. 106. Top Dell and Intel executives met and Intel again agreed on substantial increases in rebate levels; Dell would now receive a “base” rebate of 11% of its processor purchases from Intel, up from 7%, for not switching to AMD. In addition, they also agreed on another 3% in “incremental” or “variable” rebates, for a total of up to 14%. Dell’s lead negotiator estimated that the “new MCP” would be worth $400 million to Dell over the twelve month period from April 1, 2004 to March 31, 2005. Indeed, around that time, Intel’s payments to Dell started to reach figures of $100 million per quarter or more. 107. One of the reasons that Dell remained unwilling to offer AMD-based products was that Dell’s quarterly profit margins had become dependent on Intel’s payments. A comparison of Dell’s reported net income with the rebates it received from Intel for some quarterly periods show that, by 2004, the rebate payments amounted to more than a third of Dell’s earnings. For the 3 month period between August and October of 2004, Dell received approximately $304 million in rebates from Intel and reported income of $846 million, so that the rebates amounted to 36% of net income. Thereafter, the proportion of rebates to net income rose steeply. In 2006, Dell received approximately $1.9 billion in rebates from Dell, and in two quarterly periods of that year, rebate payments exceeded reported net income. From February to April of 2006, rebates ($805 million) amounted to 104% of net income ($776 million). The following 3 months, between May and July of 2006, the proportion was even higher, 116% ($554 million of rebates and $480 million in net income). 116. On December 6, 2004, Intel’s Otellini emailed Intel’s Dell account representative about his concern that Dell would defect to AMD: “I had the analysts dinner tonight. One of the analysts … said he talked with Kevin [Rollins] today and Kevin told him it was ‘inevitable’ that Dell would use Opteron…” The next day, the Intel executive promptly forwarded this email on to Dell’s lead negotiator with a plea for help in securing “incremental support” for Dell. Hours later, Dell’s lead negotiator emailed back that Michael Dell was on board: “Sitting in the car right next to msd [Michael Dell] as I type. He’s aligned. I’ll get with kbr [Kevin Rollins] when I return. I’m positive that incremental mcp will get kbr aligned.…” 117. Later in the day, Intel’s negotiator wrote that “we’ve made a lot of progress in the last couple of months – you guys had a ton to do w/it!! … I’m struggling finding the incremental meet comp exposure .... I need some help here …”. Dell’s lead negotiator emailed back: “This is really easy. MSD [Michael Dell] wants $400M more. I’ve been trying to figure out the structure…” 120. As the AMD threat to Intel’s dominance increased in the server sphere, Intel set up a Abid bucket@ program at Dell, through which Intel subsidized below-cost bids by Dell when it was bidding against competitors selling AMD-based computers and servers to large businesses or other “enterprise” customers. The purpose of the program was to stop AMD from successfully placing its products in trend-setting enterprise accounts. 121. Intel closely supervised and tightly controlled Dell’s use of the bid bucket funds. Intel demanded and received detailed quarterly tracking reports from Dell on how the bid buckets were used, including follow-up on wins and losses. 123. As Dell found itself losing more and more of these bids – even with bid bucket subsidies – in January 2005, Intel gave Dell “a verbal OK to remove any discounting restrictions” on bids against Opteron servers. In other words, Intel was now actively encouraging below-cost transactions in order to keep AMD out of the key enterprise market. In accordance with Intel’s instruction, Dell sent new guidelines to Dell’s “Centers of Competence” or “COCs” (i.e., regional offices), dispensing with the limits, but also instructing the COCs that they “MUST … [w]ork proactively with Intel to respond to and win those deals.” One of the most amazing aspects is “a verbal OK to remove any discounting restrictions” in the server space. This is what I am talking about, Intel knew they had to keep AMD from gaining traction here. This stuff just goes on and on. Clearly Intel didn't just sit back while assuring themselves that AMD couldn't produce enough chips to hurt them. They were extremely concerned and threatened.
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#623 | |
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FTC expect to build a case against Intel. Looks like the Feds are jumping into the fray. Quote:
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#624 | |
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I agree it will be a sizeable payout for Intel but then what. If AMD gives the money to their idiot marketing team then they will be no better off than they are now.
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#625 | |
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RIP Dad 4/2/48-4/7/09
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To those of you claiming capacity constrainst meant no difference if Intel was anti-competitive or not; would AMD be constrained if they'd had the revenue from high margin server and workstation parts coming in and invested that in foundaries and design? Would they not have grown to become larger, more productive, and better in every way? Is the artificial market cap not entirely to blame for holding back AMD as a cash-limited underfunded concern in the red?
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#626 | |
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Well even with Intel's pay off of OEM's, AMD has to contruct a case that shows how much damages were incurred because of it, which is difficult, its not going to be the exact amount of Intel's pay off, at the time, AMD if they win, won't be able to say it the pay off equals the damage done.
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#627 | |
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The Big One!!!
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#628 | |
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#629 | ||
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RIP Dad 4/2/48-4/7/09
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The point you are missing Mosh, is not that I'm denying your facts (which I haven't) but the reason behind why the facts are facts in the first place. If Intel had not acted in the anti-competitive manner they did, would AMD have money troubles, capacity constraints and a resource starved enterprise? That's the crux of the argument, and the answer is 'no' - see Intel's behaviour as evidence when AMD did have a class leading product. Quote:
This is the reason behind the lawsuits around the world. Intel didn't stop AMD from making enough procs, they made it so they couldn't increase marketshare and so stopped the companies growth compared to a free, open market condition. If you can't see that, you should give it up.
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#630 |
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I see your point. It' a chicken or the egg issue though on that way of looking at it. They have periods of selling every CPU they can make, and periods where surplus is on the point of downing them. I've always contended AMD's biggest enemy is itself because of mismanagment in it's quarter to quarter choices of how much stock to have on hand. But I truley contend that those periods have been more based on merit of design and market acceptance then Intel's manipulations. When AMD has released chips that truley outshine Intel's, AMD hasn't been able to keep up with demand. When Intel technology catches up or outruns AMD, Intel's other nasty tricks snow ball the situation even worse on AMD. I could compromise and say that AMD and Intel are equally AMD's own worst enemies, but I won't buy that Intel has ever been AMD's true worst enemy. I've watched AMD sabotage itself too damned many times now to think Intel is totally to blame for all of AMD's troubles.
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